Congrats to Berkeley Prep RV for taking first place in the newest PDC Elo rankings! Peninsula Li & Lin, Glenbrook South Webb & Blitz, and MBA Howard & Majhail come in a close second, third, and fourth, respectively. Rounding out the top five is Greenhill Chamarthy & Liu. Berkeley Prep and Peninsula made the largest jumps within the Top 10, after consistently impressive performances from both.
This Elo model predicted the winner 85.690% of the time. Our model’s accuracy reflects adjustments made to the Elo calculation weights and simulation process to enhance aggregation in making the rankings most nationally representative. An accuracy range of 80-90% prevents overfitting given limited sample data and placing an overly high premium on individual tournament results.
The aff win rate decreased very slightly from the last ranking, now being 48.265%.
| Team | ELO | Aff_ELO | Neg_ELO | Aff_Rounds | Neg_Rounds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Berkeley Prep RV | 2854.244 | 3119.024 | 2498.697 | 15 | 14 |
| 2 | Peninsula LL | 2840.643 | 2623.312 | 2951.322 | 20 | 16 |
| 3 | Glenbrook South BW | 2838.322 | 2523.393 | 2795.001 | 12 | 16 |
| 4 | Montgomery Bell HM | 2830.072 | 2600.675 | 2699.809 | 7 | 11 |
| 5 | Greenhill CL | 2782.61 | 2898.982 | 2476.988 | 13 | 13 |
| 6 | Bellarmine DD | 2742.901 | 2688.004 | 2615.74 | 10 | 8 |
| 7 | Northview CT | 2728.104 | 2558.6 | 2668.499 | 11 | 9 |
| 8 | Liberal Arts and Science BS | 2712.502 | 2593.853 | 2554.874 | 12 | 14 |
| 9 | Bellarmine AQ | 2707.693 | 2452.895 | 2842.795 | 9 | 9 |
| 10 | Westwood AB | 2693.891 | 2608.136 | 2512.254 | 9 | 9 |
| 11 | Peninsula KX | 2670.483 | 2690.499 | 2414.251 | 19 | 17 |
| 12 | L C Anderson WS | 2663.337 | 2571.756 | 2594.665 | 10 | 9 |
| 13 | Liberal Arts and Science BF | 2582.863 | 2303.394 | 2675.448 | 21 | 22 |
| 14 | Kenwood SW | 2492.043 | 2371.68 | 2389.252 | 20 | 16 |
| 15 | Whitney Young BM | 2484.375 | 2429.628 | 2359.216 | 17 | 17 |
| 16 | Washburn Rural CN | 2471.071 | 2849.304 | 2183.016 | 18 | 16 |
| 17 | Lexington LM | 2445.635 | 2078.476 | 2681.552 | 9 | 9 |
| 18 | Montgomery Bell BT | 2442.139 | 2342.105 | 2313.305 | 17 | 19 |
| 19 | St Mark’s School of Texas JP | 2436.267 | 2434.678 | 2243.927 | 14 | 13 |
| 20 | Glenbrook South MP | 2418.529 | 2555.1 | 2257.636 | 9 | 14 |
| 21 | Taipei American LY | 2416.704 | 2444.503 | 2221.609 | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Montgomery Bell SJ | 2393.403 | 2433.21 | 2088.529 | 19 | 13 |
| 23 | Berkeley Prep NY | 2388.527 | 2241.241 | 2270.048 | 10 | 11 |
| 24 | Berkeley Prep RZ | 2365.202 | 3024.501 | 1745.528 | 7 | 7 |
| 25 | Coppell JS | 2352.832 | 2150.603 | 2270.56 | 10 | 14 |
| 26 | Newark Science AO | 2335.382 | 2254.045 | 2347.65 | 20 | 20 |
| 27 | Mamaroneck AG | 2328.368 | 2259.382 | 2197.859 | 11 | 13 |
| 28 | College Prep AB | 2321.896 | 2154.439 | 2340.787 | 15 | 10 |
| 29 | Greenhill BH | 2316.842 | 2263.904 | 1895.659 | 8 | 7 |
| 30 | Montgomery Bell PR | 2314.878 | 2300.869 | 2086.773 | 16 | 16 |
| 31 | Woodward CM | 2312.079 | 2256.723 | 2221.382 | 15 | 17 |
| 32 | Niles North MK | 2300.972 | 2291.033 | 2079.514 | 11 | 15 |
| 33 | Westwood KG | 2294.702 | 2139.601 | 2064.045 | 8 | 6 |
| 34 | Glenbrook North CR | 2293.739 | 2141.483 | 2222.778 | 17 | 19 |
| 35 | Jesuit LR | 2293.722 | 1928.792 | 2361.654 | 11 | 9 |
| 36 | Mamaroneck MP | 2293.583 | 2205.48 | 2062.984 | 7 | 7 |
| 37 | Peninsula KK | 2291.688 | 2176.078 | 2154.744 | 15 | 16 |
| 38 | Westwood AS | 2288.939 | 2064.071 | 2133.695 | 6 | 7 |
| 39 | Pace GM | 2288.812 | 2152.489 | 2160.363 | 18 | 13 |
| 40 | New Trier MP | 2280.024 | 2181.091 | 2203.913 | 13 | 15 |
| 41 | Mamaroneck CF | 2276 | 2187.18 | 2332.698 | 12 | 11 |
| 42 | Blue Valley Southwest PC | 2275.875 | 2139.653 | 2274.433 | 19 | 14 |
| 43 | Brooklyn Technical JL | 2272.362 | 1883.084 | 2330.692 | 10 | 17 |
| 44 | Notre Dame AM | 2265.537 | 2069.253 | 2244.698 | 8 | 10 |
| 45 | Wylie E. Groves CX | 2263.064 | 2188.821 | 2132.601 | 14 | 10 |
| 46 | Little Rock Central LW | 2260.548 | 2102.071 | 2235.213 | 16 | 17 |
| 47 | Liberal Arts and Science CK | 2258.727 | 2308.58 | 1995.842 | 11 | 10 |
| 48 | Niles North CS | 2250.232 | 2332.433 | 1958.967 | 18 | 14 |
| 49 | Quarry Lane YY | 2233.762 | 1995.654 | 2373.567 | 7 | 7 |
| 50 | Blue Valley West SV | 2229.386 | 2188.601 | 2035.54 | 15 | 10 |
| 51 | Shawnee Mission East PL | 2226.403 | 2165.197 | 2133.148 | 12 | 14 |
| 52 | Quarry Lane AM | 2224.544 | 2058.332 | 2174.788 | 14 | 17 |
| 53 | Montgomery Bell SL | 2222.88 | 2174.057 | 2159.946 | 12 | 16 |
| 54 | Liberal Arts and Science LM | 2215.778 | 2200.732 | 2177.601 | 13 | 16 |
| 55 | Quarry Lane AC | 2206.166 | 2259.104 | 2054.996 | 15 | 15 |
| 56 | Coppell TB | 2205.721 | 2004.628 | 2005.358 | 11 | 12 |
| 57 | Liberal Arts and Science LR | 2204.555 | 1931.022 | 2231.193 | 16 | 18 |
| 58 | Head-Royce DW | 2196.467 | 2212.694 | 1950.295 | 7 | 7 |
| 59 | Lowell CL | 2193.243 | 2088.145 | 2223.826 | 9 | 7 |
| 60 | Lexington WH | 2190.493 | 1914.702 | 2387.116 | 7 | 9 |
| 61 | Mamaroneck MS | 2189.113 | 2133.96 | 2117.571 | 12 | 12 |
| 62 | Niles North SP | 2186.826 | 2257.013 | 2033.764 | 6 | 7 |
| 63 | Alpharetta MM | 2180.927 | 1928.159 | 2085.705 | 12 | 10 |
| 64 | Georgetown Day MT | 2180.317 | 1908.347 | 2331.106 | 7 | 7 |
| 65 | Olathe North CF | 2179.031 | 2194.538 | 2014.818 | 6 | 7 |
| 66 | Lawrence Free State FH | 2172.651 | 2217.55 | 2029.901 | 14 | 15 |
| 67 | Glenbrook South KZ | 2172.335 | 1879.009 | 2190.058 | 14 | 14 |
| 68 | Walter Payton BR | 2172.056 | 1869.19 | 2184.671 | 6 | 7 |
| 69 | New Trier HJ | 2163.808 | 2087.467 | 2096.939 | 20 | 19 |
| 70 | Damien-St. Lucy’s PP | 2163.068 | 1905.395 | 2356.304 | 17 | 17 |
| 71 | Washburn Rural CH | 2156.592 | 1957.382 | 2139.076 | 14 | 15 |
| 72 | College Prep GJ | 2155.696 | 2221.499 | 1877.476 | 8 | 7 |
| 73 | Mamaroneck MT | 2150.358 | 1849.707 | 2352.417 | 10 | 9 |
| 74 | Georgetown Day DX | 2141.586 | 2150.368 | 1932.311 | 14 | 11 |
| 75 | Dallas Highland Park BC | 2114.89 | 2078.58 | 1915.89 | 10 | 10 |
| 76 | Newton KN | 2111.598 | 2006.987 | 2070.713 | 13 | 10 |
| 77 | Georgetown Day RW | 2107.558 | 1894.528 | 2137.125 | 10 | 12 |
| 78 | Winston Churchill MP | 2106.807 | 1926.526 | 2127.104 | 19 | 17 |
| 79 | Blue Valley Southwest DT | 2101.672 | 1968.435 | 2085.103 | 9 | 11 |
| 80 | Baltimore City WM | 2100.631 | 2229.453 | 2007.41 | 9 | 15 |
| 81 | Minneapolis South BW | 2098.6 | 2355.648 | 1782.099 | 16 | 12 |
| 82 | Woodward NP | 2092.253 | 1849.477 | 2114.507 | 15 | 13 |
| 83 | Brophy PP | 2084.867 | 1936.592 | 2076.659 | 12 | 10 |
| 84 | Shawnee Mission South MJ | 2082.461 | 2115.614 | 1884.097 | 16 | 15 |
| 85 | Johns Creek GV | 2079.996 | 2019.7 | 1819.604 | 17 | 18 |
| 86 | Denmark BR | 2078.043 | 2058.558 | 1942.202 | 7 | 6 |
| 87 | Niles West VK | 2076.105 | 2189.711 | 1753.765 | 7 | 7 |
| 88 | BASIS DC CM | 2073.997 | 1819.047 | 2263.742 | 7 | 6 |
| 89 | West HS SLC JS | 2068.455 | 2350.227 | 1774.966 | 6 | 7 |
| 90 | Rowland Hall GH | 2064.968 | 2020.471 | 1917.668 | 18 | 17 |
| 91 | Greenhill MO | 2061.944 | 1789.425 | 1965.361 | 6 | 6 |
| 92 | New Trier SW | 2058.421 | 2084.915 | 1875.406 | 16 | 17 |
| 93 | Blue Valley TH | 2046.882 | 1876.249 | 2115.343 | 8 | 7 |
| 94 | Hawken LK | 2040.479 | 1218.028 | 2452.214 | 6 | 6 |
| 95 | Calvert Hall SW | 2035.85 | 2193.314 | 1792.131 | 14 | 9 |
| 96 | Northwood ZY | 2028.544 | 2141.717 | 1762.689 | 6 | 6 |
| 97 | Northview LT | 2025.762 | 1945.903 | 1823.014 | 6 | 6 |
| 98 | Shawnee Mission West WS | 2013.895 | 1836.88 | 2061.003 | 10 | 12 |
| 99 | Ronald Reagan FP | 2012.13 | 1911.235 | 1806.792 | 8 | 6 |
| 100 | Peninsula DY | 2012.126 | 1801.753 | 2074.915 | 17 | 19 |