Congratulations to Berkeley Prep’s Michael Ross and Sameer Varkantham on taking first place on the latest Elo ranking! This is their fourth consecutive ranking as first place. Peninsula KX comes only two points behind them, making ground on Berkeley Prep’s first place spot. Westwood AB overtook LASA BS to claim the third spot, thirty points behind the first two ranks. LASA BS claimed fourth, and MBA HM claimed fifth, jumping all the way from ninth on the last ranking.
This Elo model correctly predicted the winner 84.196% of the time, a .4% decrease from our most recent model. As a reminder, the accuracy of our model is certainly a reminder that all ranking systems, including an Elo system, are inaccurate. That said, an accuracy range of 80-90% is ideal to avoid overfitting the data given the limited sample.
The aff win rate again barely increased, now at 48.467%.
| Team | ELO | Aff_ELO | Neg_ELO | Aff_Rounds | Neg_Rounds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Berkeley Prep RV | 2476.703 | 2435.093 | 2331.836 | 34 | 27 |
| 2 | Peninsula KX | 2474.91 | 2414.779 | 2359.32 | 24 | 22 |
| 3 | Westwood BA | 2442.451 | 2439.326 | 2301.09 | 24 | 24 |
| 4 | Liberal Arts and Science BS | 2420.327 | 2298.676 | 2377.397 | 31 | 31 |
| 5 | Montgomery Bell HM | 2388.723 | 2265.711 | 2316.488 | 21 | 30 |
| 6 | Bellarmine DD | 2384.831 | 2383.501 | 2225.041 | 19 | 15 |
| 7 | Greenhill CL | 2361.41 | 2473.19 | 2114.283 | 35 | 28 |
| 8 | Peninsula LL | 2340.047 | 2158.524 | 2414.996 | 34 | 34 |
| 9 | Glenbrook South BW | 2330.726 | 2282.013 | 2223.181 | 23 | 29 |
| 10 | Northview TC | 2310.5 | 2192.551 | 2282.495 | 23 | 20 |
| 11 | Liberal Arts and Science BF | 2300.638 | 2211.044 | 2222.333 | 29 | 31 |
| 12 | Taipei American YL | 2300.081 | 2350.752 | 2102.466 | 19 | 16 |
| 13 | St Mark’s School of Texas JP | 2283.245 | 2304.437 | 2082.176 | 20 | 17 |
| 14 | Head-Royce AP | 2283.244 | 2466.56 | 2039.406 | 19 | 19 |
| 15 | Montgomery Bell SJ | 2282.181 | 2153.492 | 2207.418 | 30 | 27 |
| 16 | Montgomery Bell MM | 2272.222 | 2158.468 | 2158.478 | 7 | 9 |
| 17 | Greenhill BH | 2258.239 | 2262.015 | 1983.102 | 27 | 22 |
| 18 | Kenwood SW | 2253.578 | 2128.414 | 2193.51 | 32 | 27 |
| 19 | Bellarmine AQ | 2240.078 | 1958.622 | 2330.868 | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | L C Anderson SW | 2240.076 | 2062.539 | 2319.749 | 17 | 19 |
| 21 | College Prep AB | 2239.863 | 2117.253 | 2231.49 | 28 | 20 |
| 22 | Whitney Young BM | 2235.62 | 2170.205 | 2143.905 | 29 | 30 |
| 23 | Glenbrook North CR | 2233.04 | 2184.832 | 2075.819 | 31 | 37 |
| 24 | Washburn Rural CN | 2229.298 | 2270.483 | 2056.043 | 26 | 22 |
| 25 | Notre Dame AM | 2225.167 | 2056.53 | 2242.127 | 18 | 16 |
| 26 | Montgomery Bell TB | 2219.869 | 2077.427 | 2181.01 | 25 | 25 |
| 27 | Mamaroneck MP | 2213.859 | 2018.336 | 2219.771 | 11 | 10 |
| 28 | Damien-St. Lucy’s PP | 2203.742 | 2119.443 | 2143.576 | 25 | 26 |
| 29 | Woodward CM | 2196.245 | 2089.797 | 2134.699 | 21 | 25 |
| 30 | Coppell SJ | 2195.131 | 2032.669 | 2166.231 | 21 | 27 |
| 31 | Quarry Lane AM | 2192.361 | 2094.888 | 2111.475 | 17 | 22 |
| 32 | Mamaroneck AG | 2186.316 | 2014.023 | 2153.399 | 18 | 21 |
| 33 | Liberal Arts and Science CK | 2172.307 | 2087.712 | 2139.269 | 22 | 26 |
| 34 | Blue Valley North PS | 2171.718 | 1874.021 | 2213.314 | 10 | 12 |
| 35 | Shawnee Mission East PL | 2161.484 | 2090.581 | 2051.864 | 19 | 22 |
| 36 | New Trier MP | 2154.693 | 1954.733 | 2161.213 | 30 | 35 |
| 37 | Mamaroneck FC | 2152.805 | 1982.555 | 2182.63 | 19 | 21 |
| 38 | Brooklyn Technical JL | 2145.641 | 1845.433 | 2202.509 | 10 | 17 |
| 39 | St Paul Central UB | 2144.612 | 1987.471 | 2143.64 | 21 | 21 |
| 40 | Montgomery Bell LS | 2137.894 | 2070.955 | 2009.189 | 25 | 26 |
| 41 | Blue Valley Southwest PC | 2135.455 | 2054.805 | 2048.118 | 26 | 22 |
| 42 | Newark Science AO | 2126.338 | 2109.414 | 1998.934 | 34 | 37 |
| 43 | Blue Valley West SV | 2122.734 | 2053.51 | 1966.499 | 15 | 10 |
| 44 | Berkeley Prep RZ | 2121.268 | 2459.371 | 1604.264 | 7 | 7 |
| 45 | Liberal Arts and Science BV | 2120.088 | 2016.153 | 1876.446 | 6 | 6 |
| 46 | Liberal Arts and Science RL | 2113.614 | 2118.099 | 1952.795 | 12 | 15 |
| 47 | Calvert Hall SW | 2113.083 | 2051.001 | 2095.677 | 16 | 14 |
| 48 | Sonoma YK | 2110.589 | 2005.699 | 2019.753 | 23 | 26 |
| 49 | College Prep JG | 2108.868 | 2148.132 | 1910.857 | 16 | 14 |
| 50 | Westwood GK | 2097.734 | 1978.209 | 2059.935 | 15 | 13 |
| 51 | Blue Valley West VS | 2096.52 | 1930.889 | 2076.191 | 8 | 8 |
| 52 | Dallas Highland Park BC | 2094.493 | 1992.338 | 2024.283 | 20 | 23 |
| 53 | Coppell TB | 2091.797 | 1950.947 | 1986.88 | 11 | 12 |
| 54 | University OM | 2091.032 | 2137.613 | 1753.895 | 8 | 7 |
| 55 | Lowell CL | 2090.253 | 2058.604 | 1936.895 | 24 | 18 |
| 56 | Montgomery Bell RP | 2090.172 | 2156.779 | 1858.027 | 23 | 23 |
| 57 | Peninsula KK | 2089.783 | 2050.669 | 2008.719 | 23 | 22 |
| 58 | Berkeley Prep NY | 2086.275 | 2029.863 | 1975.957 | 23 | 26 |
| 59 | New Trier SY | 2081.905 | 2020.012 | 2009.353 | 16 | 14 |
| 60 | Olathe North CF | 2079.177 | 2076.439 | 1928.057 | 9 | 12 |
| 61 | Bellarmine OL | 2077.39 | 1888.253 | 2068.301 | 11 | 11 |
| 62 | Georgetown Day MT | 2076.222 | 1833.978 | 2149.042 | 7 | 7 |
| 63 | Success Academy HSLA-MANHATTAN WP | 2074.843 | 2199.768 | 1913.433 | 7 | 9 |
| 64 | Lexington HW | 2074.183 | 1800.832 | 2190.325 | 21 | 22 |
| 65 | Head-Royce DW | 2068.423 | 1986.269 | 2013.851 | 21 | 21 |
| 66 | Quarry Lane YY | 2068.346 | 1867.618 | 2080.992 | 7 | 7 |
| 67 | Westwood SG | 2063.685 | 2076.069 | 1931.419 | 22 | 19 |
| 68 | Niles North MK | 2062.688 | 2009.457 | 1964.544 | 23 | 28 |
| 69 | Niles North CS | 2058.755 | 2024.432 | 1945.995 | 32 | 27 |
| 70 | Glenbrook South KZ | 2056.349 | 1891.288 | 2071.457 | 27 | 29 |
| 71 | Liberal Arts and Science LR | 2056.226 | 1919.292 | 2043.531 | 27 | 27 |
| 72 | Liberal Arts and Science LM | 2054.51 | 2007.723 | 1994.767 | 26 | 26 |
| 73 | Quarry Lane AC | 2051.657 | 2043.514 | 1961.998 | 22 | 21 |
| 74 | Rowland Hall HG | 2046.191 | 1909.197 | 2056.128 | 27 | 24 |
| 75 | Pace MG | 2038.723 | 1983.464 | 1859.752 | 35 | 29 |
| 76 | Little Rock Central LW | 2038.014 | 1839.688 | 2009.737 | 25 | 29 |
| 77 | Barstow SH | 2030.247 | 2347.571 | 1516.604 | 6 | 7 |
| 78 | Mamaroneck MT | 2028.411 | 1803.069 | 2160.797 | 21 | 22 |
| 79 | Baltimore City MW | 2024.947 | 2013.455 | 1916.836 | 20 | 25 |
| 80 | Glenbrook South MP | 2024.086 | 1966.887 | 1911.911 | 16 | 20 |
| 81 | Johns Creek VG | 2021.685 | 2016.371 | 1868.965 | 37 | 36 |
| 82 | Newton KN | 2018.015 | 1898.71 | 1873.486 | 13 | 10 |
| 83 | Archbishop Mitty MR | 2015.785 | 2075.654 | 1852.822 | 13 | 15 |
| 84 | BASIS DC AS | 2014.829 | 2051.093 | 1752.277 | 8 | 6 |
| 85 | Minneapolis South WB | 2011.488 | 2201.112 | 1683.876 | 25 | 24 |
| 86 | Washburn Rural CH | 2006.212 | 1843.091 | 2008.203 | 23 | 28 |
| 87 | Wylie E. Groves XC | 2005.151 | 1938.367 | 1960.569 | 30 | 23 |
| 88 | Berkeley Prep RG | 2002.623 | 1751.325 | 2008.618 | 10 | 9 |
| 89 | Westwood SA | 1996.713 | 1787.283 | 1979.401 | 12 | 14 |
| 90 | Georgetown Day MX | 1995.521 | 1976.68 | 1955.478 | 13 | 14 |
| 91 | Brophy PP | 1992.618 | 1944.463 | 1876.397 | 26 | 20 |
| 92 | Bronx Science EK | 1985.242 | 2105.235 | 1753.407 | 10 | 11 |
| 93 | Shawnee Mission South MJ | 1981.998 | 1993.941 | 1786.787 | 16 | 15 |
| 94 | Lexington DS | 1981.433 | 1949.211 | 1786.536 | 32 | 29 |
| 95 | Lawrence Free State FH | 1980.706 | 1938.707 | 1893.598 | 17 | 17 |
| 96 | New Trier HJ | 1980.173 | 1875.252 | 1980.299 | 34 | 34 |
| 97 | Georgetown Day DX | 1978.717 | 1966.326 | 1816.458 | 17 | 14 |
| 98 | Lexington LM | 1975.113 | 1927.769 | 1810.621 | 20 | 18 |
| 99 | BASIS DC MC | 1973.538 | 1973.158 | 1825.982 | 14 | 12 |
| 100 | Westminster VZ | 1971.711 | 1855.348 | 1942.561 | 25 | 23 |